The economy’s Achilles heel is exposed

Well, Mark Carney wasn’t shy yesterday was he? He called out Britain’s current account deficit. He pointed out that when you import more than you export, and when you spend more than you earn, you have to “finance” the deficit by importing capital. It makes you dependent on “the kindness of strangers”.

By “strangers” he means creditors

And as long as creditors want to invest in Britain – property, gilts, stocks and factories – you can run a current account deficit equal to 4 or 4.5% of GDP. It’s when those stranger/creditors lose confidence in your economy that they stop buying your assets. You lose your financing and the currency falls.

Carney is worried that the longer the Brexit debate goes on, and the more uncertainty there is about the outcome, the greater the possibility of a “risk premium being attached to UK assets”. Translation: the more bitter the Brexit debate, the worse it could be for the current account deficit and the more British investments would have to pay strangers/creditors to entice them to buy our assets.

Dan Denning's Signature

Category: Brexit

From time to time we may tell you about regulated products issued by Southbank Investment Research Limited. With these products your capital is at risk. You can lose some or all of your investment, so never risk more than you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if you are unsure of the suitability of any investment. Southbank Investment Research Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA No 706697. https://register.fca.org.uk/.

© 2021 Southbank Investment Research Ltd. Registered in England and Wales No 9539630. VAT No GB629 7287 94.
Registered Office: 2nd Floor, Crowne House, 56-58 Southwark Street, London, SE1 1UN.

Terms and conditions | Privacy Policy | Cookie Policy | FAQ | Contact Us | Top ↑