There’s a lot you could say about David Cameron’s deal with the European Union to keep Britain “in”. All I’ll say, for today, is that the establishment figures may be completely out of touch with the British public on his tone. They think that they can settle the referendum issue by getting cabinet ministers and MPs in line.
But the British people get a say too. That’s what having the referendum is all about. And think about how badly pollsters and media forecasters have been in the last two years. They got the general election wrong. They got Jeremy Corbyn wrong.
What are they missing?
The internet, and especially social media, has created an elite opinion bubble. If you don’t get outside that bubble, you’re only talking with people who already agree with you. And you’re labouring under the impression that what you and your friends think is what everyone else will think (or should think, if they knew what was good for them).
Watch the betting markets to see which way the wind is blowing. Right now, most of the public neither cares nor is worried about the EU deal. That’s what Cameron is counting on. If he can force a vote while indifference reigns, he’ll win. The longer the delay to the vote—the more people understand what’s at stake—the greater the odds the British people will deliver yet another shock result that the establishment never saw coming.
Category: Brexit