A hilarious note from the Iowa caucuses overnight. Hillary Clinton was awarded five delegates at separate caucus sites around the state as the result of a coin toss. The coin toss was used to resolve a dispute over a formula used to allocate delegates. I won’t go into the arcane details of the caucus here, mostly because I don’t understand them.
And to be clear, winning five delegates by coin toss didn’t alter the overall result. It was not a result of pure chance. In fact, it was virtually dead even between Clinton and Vermont Democratic Socialist Bernie Sanders.
But winning five coin tosses is pretty impressive! Of course it was five separate coin tosses in five separate places. Her odds were the same each time. Had it been five in a row in the same place it would have been… an omen from the Gods.
And what about Donald Trump?
He came in second to Texas senator and Tea Party conservative Ted Cruz. The big surprise, in my view, was that Florida senator Marco Rubio closed like a freight train on Trump to finish nearly tied with the big blond mop. All the attention shifts to New Hampshire on 9 February.
But the real knock-outs begin on 1 March. It’s commonly known as “Super Tuesday”. It’s when a bevy of US states from the north, south, east, and west weigh on who the nominees from each party should be. Who do you think will win and why? Send me your vote to [email protected].
Category: Geopolitics