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GET FREE ACCESS NOW!GUALFIN, ARGENTINA – We’re getting into an agreeable and relaxed routine here at the ranch. We go for a hike up the little hill behind the house in the morning. A trail zig-zags up, with the stations of the cross…
Continue ReadingReading a publication called The Interest Rate Observer might sound awfully boring. But right now, it’s interesting. And that’s not a good thing. Take for example this simple factoid. Telecom Italia’s bond, which expires in 2022 and carries low credit…
Continue ReadingThe US stockmarket turned down again last night. That’s always a bad sign in the aftermath of a crash. Stocks are supposed to bounce back for the same reason they crashed – mean reversion. Of course, they did bounce back…
Continue ReadingPARIS – It snowed all day yesterday. It is still snowing this morning. Paris is at its best in the snow. It is hushed and enchanting… like a beautiful woman who is about to tell a secret. 16 Million Dead…
Continue ReadingCORK, IRELAND – “U.S. Stocks Drop as Treasury Sell-Off Gains Steam,” was headline news at Bloomberg last Thursday. Meanwhile, bitcoin tumbled toward $8,000, wiping about $100 billion off its market value in just 24 hours. And the price of the…
Continue ReadingBALTIMORE – What’s that in the distance? It looks like a cloud of dust barely visible on the horizon. It’s the relief column, sent from Ft. Fed! Hooray! Confidence of the Damned And yes, it is still a long way…
Continue ReadingLast week it was China. This week it’s inflation. The US’ bond market is all over the place. Today we look at what’s got bond traders’ knickers in a twist. And if you’re a bond vigilante, how to take advantage…
Continue ReadingBALTIMORE – “Investors Prepare for Inflation,” warned the front page of The Wall Street Journal last Wednesday. “Rising Treasury Yields Ripple Through Markets,” it added on Thursday. “U.S. Treasurys lead bonds sell-off,” the Financial Times piled on, “as investors fear…
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